Everton v Ipswich Town: level on points, market picks hosts

What the numbers say

Everton's recent sequence reads two wins and three draws from five matches. Ipswich have won two and lost three in the same span. A win for either side would lift them to nine points from five played; a draw leaves both on seven.

The market-implied probability gives Everton a 53 per cent chance, the draw 24.8 per cent and an Ipswich win 22.2 per cent. That assessment favours the hosts despite their run of stalemates, three in succession before a 1-0 win over Wolverhampton on Monday. Ipswich's defeats came against Manchester, Liverpool and Arsenal, all by two goals or more, but they took three points from Crystal Palace in between.

Recent meetings

The four meetings on record produced nine goals and no outright pattern. Everton won one, lost one and drew two. The most recent, in May last year, finished 2-2; before that Everton won 2-0 in October 2024. The earlier two date to 2001 and 2002, a 1-2 defeat and a goalless draw.

Everton sit ninth in the table, Ipswich tenth, with Arsenal and Manchester City leading on twelve points from four. Both clubs have been active late in the window: Grealish completes Everton return as Villa miss out and the hosts were involved in deadline-day business elsewhere. Saturday's fixture offers both a chance to move clear of mid-table before the international break.

Confirmed line-ups

Everton (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford, Vitaliy Mykolenko, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Harrison Armstrong, James Garner, Jack Grealish, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Brennan Johnson, Thierno Barry

Ipswich Town (4-2-3-1): Christian Walton, Abdoul Ouattara, Leif Davis, Dara O'Shea, Issa Diop, Sasa Lukic, Jack Clarke, Exequiel Palacios, Fatawu Issahaku, Julio Enciso, Emersonn

We are covering this one live. Follow it with us in the match centre for the line-ups when they land, the goals as they go in, and the full timeline.